Long Bets
Long Bets is a website for people to make bets about the future. From the front page:
The purpose of the Long Bets Foundations is to improve long-term thinking.
Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes.
For example, the Featured Bet is between Craig Mundie (CTO, Microsoft) and Eric Schmidt (CEO, Google):
"By 2030, commercial passengers will routinely fly in pilotless planes."
YES Craig Mundie NO Eric Schmidt
Stakes: $2,000 ($1,000 each)
Raul
1 Comments:
If you like Long Bets, also check out the Long Now foundation. In fact I think Long Bets was their idea. Will be interesting to see how many of these bets turn out. I guess we will have to wait until 02030.
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